• Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

The causes and consequences of depopulation

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Introduction

Population decline: Towards a rational, scientific research agenda
Zuzanna Brzozowska, Ekaterina Zhelenkova and Stuart Gietel-Basten

Debate

Like high cholesterol, population decline is a problem, but not in the way you might think...
Wendy Sigle

The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum
William E. Rees

Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing
Wolfgang Lutz

Depopulation or population decline? Demographic nightmares and imaginaries
Stuart Gietel-Basten

A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty
Pieter Vanhuysse

Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development
Vegard Skirbekk

The key role of early education in an ageing and shrinking population: The example of Germany
Elke Loichinger - C. Katharina Spiess

Perspectives

Implementing youth-oriented policies: A remedy for depopulation in rural regions?
Martina Schorn

Review Articles

Revisiting the impact of urban shrinkage on residential segregation in European cities
David Huntington

Research Articles

Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries
Nick Parr

How much would reduced emigration mitigate ageing in Norway?
Marianne Tønnessen - Astri Syse

The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline
Brienna Perelli-Harris - Yuliya Hilevych

Is Spanish depopulation irreversible? Recent demographic and spatial changes in small municipalities
Fernando Gil-Alonso - Jordi Bayona-i-Carrasco - Isabel Pujadas-Rúbies

Neighbourhood effects and determinants of population changes in Italy: A spatial perspective
Federico Benassi - Annalisa Busetta - Gerardo Gallo - Manuela Stranges

Demographic sustainability in Italian territories: The link between depopulation and population ageing
Cecilia Reynaud - Sara Miccoli

Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany
Patrizio Vanella - Timon Hellwagner - Philipp Deschermeier

Data and Trends

Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration
Olga Gagauz - Tatiana Tabac - Irina Pahomii
Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition



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The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum

    William E. Rees

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023, pp. 21, 2022/11/15

The causes and consequences of depopulation

doi: 10.1553/p-eznb-ekgc


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doi:10.1553/p-eznb-ekgc

Abstract

The human enterprise is in overshoot, depleting essential ecosystems faster than they can regenerate and polluting the ecosphere beyond nature’s assimilative capacity. Overshoot is a meta-problem that is the cause of most symptoms of eco-crisis, including climate change, landscape degradation and biodiversity loss. The proximate driver of overshoot is excessive energy and material ‘throughput’ to serve the global economy. Both rising incomes (consumption) and population growth contribute to the growing human eco-footprint, but increasing throughput due to population growth is the larger factor at the margin. (Egregious and widening inequality is a separate socio-political problem.) Mainstream approaches to alleviating various symptoms of overshoot merely reinforce the status quo. This is counter-productive, as overshoot is ultimately a terminal condition. The continuity of civilisation will require a cooperative, planned contraction of both the material economy and human populations, beginning with a personal to civilisational transformation of the fundamental values, beliefs, assumptions and attitudes underpinning neoliberal/capitalist industrial society.

Keywords: overshoot; eco-footprint; carrying capacity; sustainability; population; contraction

Published Online: 2022/11/15 06:07:41

Object Identifier: 0xc1aa5572 0x003dcfa1

Document viewed: Calculating...

Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/