Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)


Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

The causes and consequences of depopulation

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023 
2023,   443 Seiten, zahlr. Tabellen und Farbabbildungen, 24x17cm, broschiert, englisch,
Open access


Introduction

Population decline: Towards a rational, scientific research agenda
Zuzanna Brzozowska, Ekaterina Zhelenkova and Stuart Gietel-Basten

Debate

Like high cholesterol, population decline is a problem, but not in the way you might think...
Wendy Sigle

The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum
William E. Rees

Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing
Wolfgang Lutz

Depopulation or population decline? Demographic nightmares and imaginaries
Stuart Gietel-Basten

A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty
Pieter Vanhuysse

Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development
Vegard Skirbekk

The key role of early education in an ageing and shrinking population: The example of Germany
Elke Loichinger - C. Katharina Spiess

Perspectives

Implementing youth-oriented policies: A remedy for depopulation in rural regions?
Martina Schorn

Review Articles

Revisiting the impact of urban shrinkage on residential segregation in European cities
David Huntington

Research Articles

Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries
Nick Parr

How much would reduced emigration mitigate ageing in Norway?
Marianne Tønnessen - Astri Syse

The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline
Brienna Perelli-Harris - Yuliya Hilevych

Is Spanish depopulation irreversible? Recent demographic and spatial changes in small municipalities
Fernando Gil-Alonso - Jordi Bayona-i-Carrasco - Isabel Pujadas-Rúbies

Neighbourhood effects and determinants of population changes in Italy: A spatial perspective
Federico Benassi - Annalisa Busetta - Gerardo Gallo - Manuela Stranges

Demographic sustainability in Italian territories: The link between depopulation and population ageing
Cecilia Reynaud - Sara Miccoli

Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany
Patrizio Vanella - Timon Hellwagner - Philipp Deschermeier

Data and Trends

Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration
Olga Gagauz - Tatiana Tabac - Irina Pahomii

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at

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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition



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doi:10.1553/p-cmbb-hheg



Thema: journals
Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)


Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023

The causes and consequences of depopulation

ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9258-9
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-9259-6
Online Edition
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2023 
2023,   443 Seiten, zahlr. Tabellen und Farbabbildungen, 24x17cm, broschiert, englisch,
Open access


Vegard Skirbekk
PDF Icon  Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development ()
S.  81
Open access

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften


doi:10.1553/p-cmbb-hheg
Abstract:
The public discourse about the ongoing fertility decline and the spread of low fertility, and the consequences thereof, is often unscientific and emotionally charged. As I argue in my book, Decline and Prosper! (Skirbekk, 2022), low fertility per se does not pose a major societal threat – and it is also accompanied by a number of benefits. In this article, I summarize my main points: namely, that i) the negative consequences of low fertility are often exaggerated and based on false assumptions; ii) low fertility is driven by many different, interacting factors, and is the byproduct or the cause of many positive societal developments; iii) low fertility is here to stay; and iv) societies urgently need to adapt to a world with fewer children. Fertility decline is self-perpetuating: once lowfertility has become the normin one generation, the fertility level is much less likely to increase in subsequent generations. At the same time, no plausible level of migration would be enough to meaningfully alter population aging in the long term. If, however, societies make the right choices, low fertility can enable humans to live more sustainably well into the future, and can stimulate further positive developments in the human condition.

Keywords:  global demographic change; low fertility; ageing; population concern
  2023/08/09 07:44:31
Document Date:  2023/08/09 09:00:00
Object Identifier:  0xc1aa5576 0x003e69a4
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Introduction

Population decline: Towards a rational, scientific research agenda
Zuzanna Brzozowska, Ekaterina Zhelenkova and Stuart Gietel-Basten

Debate

Like high cholesterol, population decline is a problem, but not in the way you might think...
Wendy Sigle

The human eco-predicament: Overshoot and the population conundrum
William E. Rees

Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing
Wolfgang Lutz

Depopulation or population decline? Demographic nightmares and imaginaries
Stuart Gietel-Basten

A governance perspective on East Central Europe’s population predicament: Young exit, grey voice and lopsided loyalty
Pieter Vanhuysse

Low, but not too low, fertility can represent a positive development
Vegard Skirbekk

The key role of early education in an ageing and shrinking population: The example of Germany
Elke Loichinger - C. Katharina Spiess

Perspectives

Implementing youth-oriented policies: A remedy for depopulation in rural regions?
Martina Schorn

Review Articles

Revisiting the impact of urban shrinkage on residential segregation in European cities
David Huntington

Research Articles

Immigration and the prospects for long-run population decreases in European countries
Nick Parr

How much would reduced emigration mitigate ageing in Norway?
Marianne Tønnessen - Astri Syse

The triple burden of depopulation in Ukraine: examining perceptions of population decline
Brienna Perelli-Harris - Yuliya Hilevych

Is Spanish depopulation irreversible? Recent demographic and spatial changes in small municipalities
Fernando Gil-Alonso - Jordi Bayona-i-Carrasco - Isabel Pujadas-Rúbies

Neighbourhood effects and determinants of population changes in Italy: A spatial perspective
Federico Benassi - Annalisa Busetta - Gerardo Gallo - Manuela Stranges

Demographic sustainability in Italian territories: The link between depopulation and population ageing
Cecilia Reynaud - Sara Miccoli

Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany
Patrizio Vanella - Timon Hellwagner - Philipp Deschermeier

Data and Trends

Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration
Olga Gagauz - Tatiana Tabac - Irina Pahomii



Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
A-1011 Wien, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2
Tel. +43-1-515 81/DW 3420, Fax +43-1-515 81/DW 3400
https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: verlag@oeaw.ac.at