• Vienna Institute of Demography (Ed.)

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018

Broadening demographic horizons

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Introduction

Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age and Gender
Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Demographic Debate

Are there principles of demography? A search for unifying (and hegemonic) Themes
William P. Butz

Can Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling and its relatives help select more plausible multi-regional population forecasts?
Joel E. Cohen, Helge Brunborg, Meng Xu

Probabilistic demographic forecasts
Nico Keilman

Education and demography: a review of world population and human capital in the 21st century
Philip Rees

Research Articles

Population dynamics and human capital in Muslim countries
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Gavin W. Jones

Survival inequalities and redistribution in the Italian pension system
Graziella Caselli, Rosa Maria Lipsi

Does education matter? – economic dependency ratios by education
Alexia Prskawetz, Bernhard Hammer

Multistate projections of Australia’s Indigenous population: interacting area group and identification status change
James Raymer, Yanlin Shi, James O'Donnell, Nicholas Biddle

The end of population ageing in the more developed world
Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Patrick Gerland

From intentions to births: paths of realization in a multi-dimensional life course
Maria Rita Testa, Francesco Rampazzo

Towards causal forecasting of international migration
Frans Willekens

Data and Trends

Summary of Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries
Nicholas Gailey, Wolfgang Lutz

"Express transitioning" as a special case of the demographic transition
Marc Luy, Bernhard Köppen

Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018
ISSN 1728-4414
Print Edition
ISSN 1728-5305
Online Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-8
Print Edition
ISBN 978-3-7001-8436-2
Online Edition



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Austrian Academy of Sciences Press
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https://verlag.oeaw.ac.at, e-mail: bestellung.verlag@oeaw.ac.at
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Introduction.pdf

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018, pp. , 2024/12/12

Broadening demographic horizons


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Abstract

This introduction to the 2018 special issue of the Vienna Yearbook of Population Research discusses the importance to broaden our demographic horizon by moving beyond age and gender in demographic models. By addressing population change also along dimensions such as place of residence, ethnicity/race, marital status, educational attainment, labour force participation and health status we can better capture the heterogeneity of population change. New methodologies have been developed to account for the multi-dimensionality of population models. The volume starts with a debate section that discusses such diverse topics as the principles of demography, the choice of the most plausible multiregional population forecast and the evolution of multi-dimensional demography. Seven research articles cover population heterogeneity in different demographic and economic contexts. These include the demographics of the Muslim population, the differential impact of pension reforms in Italy on socioeconomic groups and a study on economic dependency ratios for Austria taking into account the heterogenous population development by age, gender and education. Three papers are devoted to multistate population projections, the importance of causal approaches in population forecasts and probabilistic population forecasts. Another contribution highlights the importance of heterogeneity across individuals when studying the relation between birth intentions and outcomes. The volume ends with two contributions on data and trends that discuss world population projections by education and labour force status and the role of urbanization and education for the speed of the demographic transition.

Keywords: Population structure; Population projections; Multistate modelling; Labour force; Education; Demography; Population heterogeneity

Published Online: 2024/12/12 16:55:28

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